Do you enjoy eating or baking that molten chocolate lava cake? If so, you know how important a good recipe is. There are certain amounts of specific ingredients which need to be added together to create that sensational end product: a delicious dessert. (I could have used a building-a-home analogy, but lava cake just sounded so much more enticing.) Financial portfolios are similar in that there are certain items in certain amounts necessary to construct a solid investment plan. In my last blog, about developing a solid investment plan, we discussed Step 1, Goal Setting and Preparation, and Step 2, How to Think about risk, volatility and time frames. Today, I will introduce you to Step 3 - Portfolio Construction.
Your ideal asset allocation is the mix of investments, from most aggressive to safest, that will earn the total return over time that you need. Once you have identified your target risk number and asset allocation, it’s time to identify an appropriate combination of securities in various retirement and non-retirement accounts in your portfolio.
There are endless combinations when constructing a portfolio. The securities you can select include mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs), individual stocks, and bonds. You must do research on a wide range of securities to select the ones you want to buy to build your portfolio.
In general, when constructing your own investment plan, it’s important to determine how much to allocate to the three major categories: stocks (for growth), bonds (for income), and cash (for capital preservation). Bonds with different maturity dates are part of your fixed income allocation; they do not grow as much as stocks, but they pay 2 percent to 5 percent interest income subject to credit quality, liquidity, and duration. Cash means checking, savings, and money market funds that provide you the liquidity you need with minimal return. Stocks are your main growth investment, but you should have a ten-year or longer time frame before you need to sell because a major market downturn, such as the 2007–08 financial crisis, could be five years away and may take four or five years to recover.
As part of your investment plan, your cash flow plan should include the projected amounts you need to withdraw from your portfolio per year after receiving Social Security, pension, or annuity income. As you live in retirement, you’ll need to sell equity or fixed income securities to rebalance your portfolio and park more in cash (about one year’s worth of expenses) for withdrawals.
At Echo Wealth Management, we have developed a framework to determine the best combination of securities in order to construct a customized portfolio that addresses equity needs, manages distribution requirements, and monitors allocation. It helps us create a plan that is low cost, tax efficient, and diversified in order to accommodate clients’ goals, resources, time frame, and risk number.
As you construct your portfolio, alone or with an advisor, it’s important to remember to select an asset allocation that matches your risk profile and the rate of return you need to meet your goals.
Diversification
Some people have fears about managing money. Often, this is because they had a bad experience, made mistakes on their own, or worked with an advisor who didn’t explain the risks and created a portfolio that was not comfortable with their risk tolerance level. The answer to this fear is creating a good blend of securities and being willing to take calculated risks across a diversified portfolio.
For example, when our clients see their cash flow on the Echo Dashboard and see a detailed analysis of their current portfolio and their time frame and goals, they can see projections and the adjustments we can make to ensure they still meet their retirement income needs in the long term. This tool shows them that their portfolios are adequately diversified so that should a bear market scenario arise, they are less likely to be forced to sell stocks, even if they incur a temporary loss of value. Showing detailed projected cash flow and withdrawals from various accounts for the next five years is key to building confidence in investment decisions.
For longer-term (over ten years) goals, where you have the capacity to weather a bear market, you can invest more aggressively.
For intermediate-term (three to ten years) goals, a diversified portfolio including cash investments, bonds, and some stocks can help to balance your risk and return potential. The closer you are to your goal, reduce your risk accordingly.
For shorter-term (less than three years) goals, a sound approach is to invest in a heavier mix of historically less-volatile investments, such as cash investments and short-term bonds.
Investing with A Global Perspective
While many investors tend to buy domestic stock, it’s a good idea to invest with a global perspective. This means understanding that emerging markets and developed markets, such as Europe, Japan, and Canada, also present opportunities.
When looking for global investment opportunities, it’s important to look beyond projected GDP in these regions and pay attention to the valuation of the stocks you want to buy when they are relatively cheap compared to the long-term average.
American investors tend to underweight emerging markets stocks, but it is advisable to have at least 10 percent of the stock portion of your portfolio in emerging markets stocks in order to potentially maximize return in the long term. China and India together constitute about 36 percent of the world’s population. By 2030, emerging markets will account for 62 percent of total growth in global consumption.
If the dollar weakens or if US economic growth and earnings growth slow compared to overseas growth, the return on international equities will be amplified. This means investing with a global perspective could be a solid strategy in your investment plan.
So as we begin to construct your portfolio for a solid investment plan, we need to think about the mix of investments, just like the mix of ingredients for our chocolate lava cake. A beautiful dessert consists of a variety of ingredients in different amounts. The same is true for your solid investment plan. Your ideal asset allocation is the mix of investments, from most aggressive to safest, that will earn the total return over time that you need. Determining how much to allocate to the three major categories: stocks (for growth), bonds (for income), and cash (for capital preservation) is key in constructing the portfolio of your Solid Investment Plan.
When we meet again, I will review Step 4 - The Implementation in Forming a Solid Investment Plan.
Until then, I would like to know about your favorite dessert? How many ingredients are in it? I’m salivating already, so please share. And if you’d like to share about something you’ve learned or have a question, I’d love to read that as well!